Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 3.149403e-01 0.421146 0.544472 0.696080 0.875252 1.078152 1.323134
2025-12-21 1.681970e-01 0.289404 0.453569 0.682008 0.981512 1.351118 1.831633
2025-12-28 9.381173e-02 0.212707 0.400865 0.693753 1.112218 1.664015 2.421062
2026-01-04 4.962235e-02 0.155256 0.352596 0.694525 1.221602 1.956083 3.007920
2026-01-11 2.263282e-02 0.107389 0.299163 0.670269 1.285440 2.186772 3.526875
2026-01-18 9.317012e-03 0.074929 0.257996 0.652438 1.350732 2.419120 4.058129
2026-01-25 3.651751e-03 0.055427 0.233618 0.656298 1.447013 2.699746 4.669322
2026-02-01 8.262833e-04 0.036871 0.199573 0.630719 1.486864 2.893472 5.160894
2026-02-08 1.995416e-04 0.029512 0.192496 0.658984 1.622435 3.242481 5.895055
2026-02-15 7.931779e-06 0.021248 0.175726 0.660328 1.706826 3.512208 6.518852
2026-02-22 3.068796e-09 0.018656 0.179097 0.710419 1.887208 3.946469 7.407976
2026-03-01 NaN 0.015147 0.175362 0.741243 2.031682 4.326572 8.224670
2026-03-08 NaN 0.011004 0.164224 0.751273 2.138356 4.653096 8.977586
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006930 0.146429 0.737770 2.195176 4.897164 9.609695
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004852 0.138414 0.750882 2.308549 5.243909 10.415768
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003063 0.127657 0.752057 2.395342 5.546475 11.158470
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001475 0.110702 0.726573 2.419453 5.736782 11.723212
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000637 0.097169 0.707785 2.455690 5.949114 12.328541
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000300 0.090292 0.711919 2.545453 6.262781 13.109035
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000063 0.077179 0.684844 2.556477 6.428684 13.645656
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000029 0.077026 0.714800 2.710833 6.870933 14.657852
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000003 0.071180 0.716229 2.793003 7.177528 15.446067
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000002 0.075605 0.769245 3.011017 7.752070 16.701881